AFC Champions League Elite Round 5

Pakhtakor vs Al-Ittihad analysis

Pakhtakor Al-Ittihad
68 ELO 78
1.7% Tilt -7%
2032º General ELO ranking 863º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.5%
Pakhtakor
24.7%
Draw
43.8%
Al-Ittihad

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
Pakhtakor
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.8%
Win probability
Al-Ittihad
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pakhtakor
+37%
+25%
Al-Ittihad

ELO progression

Pakhtakor
Al-Ittihad
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pakhtakor
Pakhtakor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2012
FKL
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
1 - 1
Pakhtakor
PAK
50%
25%
24%
69 67 2 0
17 Apr. 2012
ARA
Al-Arabi Doha
0 - 1
Pakhtakor
PAK
37%
26%
38%
69 62 7 0
12 Apr. 2012
PAK
Pakhtakor
0 - 0
Nasaf Qarshi
NAS
58%
24%
18%
69 67 2 0
08 Apr. 2012
DSA
Dinamo Samarqand
0 - 1
Pakhtakor
PAK
44%
27%
29%
69 67 2 0
04 Apr. 2012
PAK
Pakhtakor
3 - 1
Al-Arabi Doha
ARA
55%
22%
23%
69 63 6 0

Matches

Al-Ittihad
Al-Ittihad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2012
ALH
Al-Hilal SFC
1 - 1
Al-Ittihad
ALI
51%
24%
26%
78 78 0 0
22 Apr. 2012
ALI
Al-Ittihad
2 - 2
Al-Hilal SFC
ALH
54%
22%
23%
78 78 0 0
17 Apr. 2012
BAY
Baniyas
0 - 0
Al-Ittihad
ALI
35%
24%
41%
78 69 9 0
13 Apr. 2012
HAJ
Hajer FC
0 - 0
Al-Ittihad
ALI
22%
25%
53%
78 65 13 0
08 Apr. 2012
ALI
Al-Ittihad
1 - 1
Al-Nassr
ALN
54%
23%
24%
78 77 1 0