Pagham vs Stoneham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
73.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BMR
1 - 0
PAG
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAG
1 - 2
MON
20%
20%
61%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
4 - 0
PAG
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PAG
1 - 2
HAM
51%
22%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PAG
0 - 2
HYD
45%
22%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stoneham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
STO
1 - 0
BOU
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STO
4 - 0
BLA
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 4
STO
7%
13%
80%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BEM
5 - 1
STO
24%
21%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
STO
1 - 3
NOR
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |