Paderborn vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HAN
0 - 1
PAD
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
PAD
4 - 3
OSN
53%
21%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PAD
4 - 1
SPO
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
PAD
2 - 1
EIN
14%
19%
68%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
PAD
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
UTR
4 - 3
LEV
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
LEV
3 - 2
STG
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
M05
0 - 1
LEV
27%
23%
50%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
LEV
0 - 1
HER
57%
22%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
KOL
2 - 0
LEV
18%
21%
62%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |