Paderborn vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
KOL
0 - 1
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 0
COT
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
KAI
0 - 1
PAD
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VFR
2 - 4
PAD
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
ERZ
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 2
STP
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FCU
4 - 2
ARB
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARB
4 - 1
SGF
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 1
SGD
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
FSV
1 - 2
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |