Paderborn vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
M05
2 - 0
PAD
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
BYM
3 - 2
PAD
89%
9%
3%
|
70 | 94 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
PAD
1 - 2
HER
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
S04
1 - 1
PAD
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAD
2 - 4
WOL
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
KOL
3 - 0
S04
26%
23%
51%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HER
0 - 5
KOL
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 4
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
KOL
4 - 0
SCF
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
BVB
5 - 1
KOL
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |