Paços de Ferreira vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 2
PAÇ
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
FEI
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 2
PAÇ
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2018 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TON
1 - 2
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
EST
3 - 0
TON
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
TON
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TON
3 - 1
FEI
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
TON
1 - 1
VST
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |