Oxford United vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CRE
0 - 6
OXF
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
OXF
1 - 2
STA
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 1
OXF
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
OXF
2 - 1
LIN
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
OXF
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
GIL
0 - 0
STF
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
STF
3 - 0
PLY
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
STF
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
STF
1 - 2
OPA
32%
26%
41%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 2
STF
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |