Oxford United vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
STA
2 - 2
OXF
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
OXF
3 - 0
GIL
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
OXF
4 - 0
WHU
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 6
OXF
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
BOL
0 - 0
OXF
20%
25%
56%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DON
1 - 2
OPA
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
OPA
1 - 0
BOL
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
OPA
0 - 4
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
WYC
1 - 0
OPA
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
OPA
2 - 2
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |