Oxford City vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
BIS
0 - 0
OXF
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
OXF
0 - 0
STA
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAU
2 - 1
OXF
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
OXF
5 - 0
WOR
50%
24%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 2
OXF
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
BRA
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 0
COL
56%
22%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 3
COL
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
COL
3 - 2
HIN
53%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
BRA
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |