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Belarus Third Division. Matchday 24

Oshmyany vs Molodechno analysis

Oshmyany Molodechno
20 ELO 21
137% Tilt 286%
9613º General ELO ranking 6312º
112º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
32.7%
Oshmyany
14.6%
Draw
52.6%
Molodechno

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
Oshmyany
3.28
Expected goals
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
0.1%
10-5
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.2%
9-5
0.1%
10-6
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
1.3%
7-4
0.6%
8-5
0.2%
9-6
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
2.3%
6-4
1.3%
7-5
0.5%
8-6
0.1%
9-7
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
0.2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
3.6%
5-4
2.3%
6-5
1%
7-6
0.3%
8-7
0.1%
9-8
<0%
+1
12.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
0.1%
1-1
0.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
4.3%
4-4
3.5%
5-5
1.9%
6-6
0.7%
7-7
0.2%
8-8
<0%
0
14.6%
52.6%
Win probability
Molodechno
3.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
4.3%
4-5
2.8%
5-6
1.2%
6-7
0.4%
7-8
0.1%
8-9
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
3.9%
3-5
3.4%
4-6
1.9%
5-7
0.7%
6-8
0.2%
7-9
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
3.1%
3-6
2.3%
4-7
1.1%
5-8
0.3%
6-9
0.1%
7-10
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
2.1%
3-7
1.3%
4-8
0.5%
5-9
0.2%
6-10
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
1.2%
3-8
0.6%
4-9
0.2%
5-10
0.1%
6-11
0%
-5
4%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.6%
3-9
0.3%
4-10
0.1%
5-11
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.3%
3-10
0.1%
4-11
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0.1%
3-11
0%
4-12
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0%
1-10
0.1%
2-11
0%
3-12
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
1-11
0%
2-12
0%
-10
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oshmyany
+189%
+171%
Molodechno

Points and table prediction

Oshmyany
Their league position
Molodechno
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
15º
67
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
76
81
100%
Oshmyany
71
75
100%
Molodechno
67
71
100%
Čist́
53
56
100%
Ivatsevichi
47
50
48%
FK Stenles Pinsk
46
48
32%
FK Uzda
44
48
47%
Osipovichy
35
37
1%
SMI Autotrans
30
33
10º
0%
Belshina Bobruisk II
10º
29
31
11º
28%
Victoria Maryina
11º
27
29
13º
16%
FC Gorki
12º
27
29
12º
38%
Energosbyt-BSATU
13º
23
25
14º
1%
Kletsk
14º
19
21
15º
1%
Kronon
15º
11
12
16º
0%
Yua-Stroy
16º
0
42
0%
Expected probabilities
Oshmyany
Molodechno
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Molodechno
MOL
Oshmyany
OSH
SMI Autotrans
AUT
FK Uzda
FKU
Kletsk
KLE
Osipovichy
OSI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oshmyany
Oshmyany
1%
X%
2%
ELO OSH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2019
NEM
Kronon
2 - 5
Oshmyany
OSH
39%
28%
34%
274 99 -175 +2
21 Sep. 2019
OSH
Oshmyany
2 - 0
Victoria Maryina
VIM
47%
27%
26%
272 195 77 +2
14 Sep. 2019
IVA
Ivatsevichi
1 - 3
Oshmyany
OSH
47%
27%
26%
270 365 95 +2
07 Sep. 2019
OSH
Oshmyany
2 - 0
Osipovichy
OSI
47%
27%
26%
268 169 99 +2
31 Aug. 2019
FKU
FK Uzda
3 - 6
Oshmyany
OSH
45%
27%
28%
266 269 3 +2

Matches

Molodechno
Molodechno
1%
X%
2%
ELO MOL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2019
MOL
Molodechno
2 - 0
Čist́
CIS
47%
27%
26%
276 231 45 +2
21 Sep. 2019
DSP
FK Stenles Pinsk
0 - 4
Molodechno
MOL
46%
27%
27%
274 232 -42 +2
14 Sep. 2019
MOL
Molodechno
3 - 0
Belshina Bobruisk II
FCB
47%
27%
26%
272 230 42 +2
07 Sep. 2019
FKA
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2 - 2
Molodechno
MOL
45%
27%
28%
272 268 -4 0
31 Aug. 2019
MOL
Molodechno
3 - 1
FC Gorki
FCG
46%
27%
27%
270 320 -50 +2