Orvietana Calcio vs Castel Rigone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ACD
5 - 0
ORV
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GAV
1 - 1
ORV
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ORV
1 - 0
SGP
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SSD
2 - 1
ORV
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ORV
0 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CAS
2 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SGP
1 - 1
CAS
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASD
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GAV
1 - 0
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAS
4 - 1
ACM
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |