Orillamar SD vs Ud Carral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orillamar SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 0
ORI
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ORI
4 - 0
ASP
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VIZ
1 - 0
ORI
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ORI
6 - 1
QUE
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ASP
0 - 1
ORI
29%
23%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ud Carral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UDC
3 - 0
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
OVA
2 - 2
UDC
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UDC
4 - 1
SPA
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CED
1 - 2
UDC
43%
23%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UDC
3 - 0
CAM
61%
20%
19%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |