Once Caldas vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SCI
1 - 0
ONC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 1
JUN
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 2
ONC
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 2
ONC
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
SFE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
SFE
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
EQU
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
CAR
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
48%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |