Copa Colombia . Last 16
Global 3-1
Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ONC
3 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
HUI
1 - 2
ONC
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
ONC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
ONC
3 - 1
ENV
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
PAS
0 - 0
ONC
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
JUN
2 - 1
IND
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
AGU
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
ONC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 2
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 1
IND
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |