Once Caldas vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ONC
2 - 0
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
HUI
1 - 3
ONC
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ONC
3 - 0
CEN
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
AME
1 - 1
ONC
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
ONC
1 - 0
ENV
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 1
IND
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIL
58%
25%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
IND
1 - 2
NAC
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 0
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
3 - 0
QUI
61%
24%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |