Olympique Marseille U19 vs Bastia Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
2º
34
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
OLY
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
OLY
80%
14%
7%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 1
BEZ
57%
20%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 6
SPO
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
OLY
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
5 - 0
BLA
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
IST
4 - 2
BAS
47%
21%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 5
TOU
21%
22%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 2
BAS
75%
14%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
ABE
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +2 |