Olympique Marseille II vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
11º
6º
33
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EUA
1 - 1
MAR
21%
20%
60%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
GAZ
27%
26%
48%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
RVA
3 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCM
15%
23%
62%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 1
SCR
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 2
LUC
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EUA
0 - 2
LUC
19%
21%
61%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
IST
2 - 1
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 1
NIC
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |