Olympic Star vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
STA
2 - 1
FLA
31%
25%
43%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
STA
0 - 2
VIT
25%
29%
47%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ATH
3 - 0
STA
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
RUK
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
STA
2 - 0
LLB
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
NGO
3 - 1
ATH
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
BUM
1 - 3
NGO
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
NGO
5 - 1
BUJ
73%
17%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 2
NGO
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 0
NGO
23%
27%
50%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |