Greek Super League Normal Season Round 30

Olympiacos vs AEL Larisa analysis

Olympiacos AEL Larisa
83 ELO 68
16.2% Tilt -10.2%
446º General ELO ranking 605º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
75.2%
Olympiacos
16.4%
Draw
8.4%
AEL Larisa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
Olympiacos
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.4%
Win probability
AEL Larisa
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olympiacos
+35%
+12%
AEL Larisa

ELO progression

Olympiacos
AEL Larisa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olympiacos
Olympiacos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2011
ATR
Atromitos
3 - 1
Olympiacos
OLP
27%
28%
45%
83 69 14 0
03 Apr. 2011
OLP
Olympiacos
3 - 1
Kavala
AOK
74%
18%
8%
83 72 11 0
20 Mar. 2011
OLP
Olympiacos
6 - 0
AEK Athens
AEK
55%
23%
22%
83 81 2 0
13 Mar. 2011
PAO
PAOK
2 - 1
Olympiacos
OLP
45%
28%
27%
83 83 0 0
06 Mar. 2011
OLP
Olympiacos
3 - 0
Ergotelis
ERG
69%
19%
12%
83 72 11 0

Matches

AEL Larisa
AEL Larisa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2011
LAR
AEL Larisa
2 - 3
AEK Athens
AEK
26%
26%
48%
69 81 12 0
03 Apr. 2011
PAO
PAOK
1 - 0
AEL Larisa
LAR
64%
24%
13%
70 83 13 -1
20 Mar. 2011
LAR
AEL Larisa
3 - 3
Ergotelis
ERG
46%
27%
27%
70 71 1 0
13 Mar. 2011
PAN
Panionios
3 - 3
AEL Larisa
LAR
58%
25%
17%
70 75 5 0
06 Mar. 2011
LAR
AEL Larisa
2 - 0
Panathinaikos
PAN
27%
28%
46%
68 83 15 +2