Olimpia vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
12O
0 - 2
OLI
19%
22%
58%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 1
LIB
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
OLI
31%
24%
46%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -4 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
AME
2 - 4
OLI
14%
20%
66%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
LQE
3 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
12O
1 - 2
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |