Oleiros vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
OLE
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 2
RDA
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 1
OLE
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 2
SOU
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLE
27%
22%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
FAV
83%
12%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
ADM
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
GAF
29%
26%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |