Oldham Athletic AFC vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
OLD
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
OLD
2 - 2
TRA
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
OLD
2 - 1
POS
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 1
OLD
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
POR
3 - 1
OLD
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 1
MAC
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
MAC
2 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 1
WBA
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |