FA Cup Last 16
Global 3-5
Oldham Athletic AFC vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
56.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
OLD
3 - 1
MKD
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
WAL
3 - 1
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OLD
3 - 2
LIV
15%
25%
60%
|
56 | 89 | 33 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
OLD
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
COV
2 - 1
OLD
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 0
EVE
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 3
ASV
61%
21%
17%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 1
WBA
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 2
EVE
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
EVE
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |