Championship Round 42

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Everton analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Everton
55 ELO 73
8.9% Tilt -4.2%
3816º General ELO ranking 86º
99º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
47.8%
Oldham Athletic AFC
22.7%
Draw
29.5%
Everton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.5%
Win probability
Everton
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+21%
+5%
Everton

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Everton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 1954
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 3
Nottingham Forest
NTT
51%
23%
27%
56 72 16 0
19 Apr. 1954
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 0
Bristol Rovers
BRO
53%
22%
25%
56 65 9 0
17 Apr. 1954
WHU
West Ham
0 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
72%
16%
12%
55 65 10 +1
16 Apr. 1954
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
69%
18%
13%
55 65 10 0
10 Apr. 1954
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 3
Fulham
FUL
49%
23%
28%
56 72 16 -1

Matches

Everton
Everton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 1954
EVE
Everton
1 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
61%
20%
19%
72 72 0 0
19 Apr. 1954
LIN
Lincoln City
1 - 1
Everton
EVE
41%
23%
36%
72 61 11 0
17 Apr. 1954
FUL
Fulham
0 - 0
Everton
EVE
62%
18%
19%
72 71 1 0
16 Apr. 1954
EVE
Everton
3 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
69%
17%
14%
72 63 9 0
10 Apr. 1954
EVE
Everton
1 - 1
Stoke City
STO
61%
21%
19%
72 73 1 0