Championship Round 29

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Bolton Wanderers analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Bolton Wanderers
66 ELO 76
9.4% Tilt -5%
3843º General ELO ranking 1240º
99º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
43%
Oldham Athletic AFC
21.2%
Draw
35.8%
Bolton Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
35.8%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+13%
-13%
Bolton Wanderers

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Bolton Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 1934
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 3
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
55%
23%
22%
66 62 4 0
07 Feb. 1934
WHU
West Ham
1 - 4
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
71%
17%
13%
65 67 2 +1
03 Feb. 1934
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
58%
22%
21%
65 69 4 0
20 Jan. 1934
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
4 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
58%
22%
20%
64 68 4 +1
06 Jan. 1934
GRI
Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
80%
12%
8%
64 75 11 0

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 1934
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
4 - 1
Burnley
BUR
74%
14%
12%
75 64 11 0
03 Feb. 1934
BRE
Brentford
3 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
43%
22%
35%
76 69 7 -1
20 Jan. 1934
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
3 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
76%
14%
11%
76 62 14 0
06 Jan. 1934
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
3 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
44%
21%
35%
77 68 9 -1
02 Jan. 1934
BCF
Bury
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
40%
22%
38%
77 68 9 0