Old Boys vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FCZ
5 - 2
OLD
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
OLD
0 - 5
YVE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
OLD
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
STA
3 - 1
OLD
34%
24%
41%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
OLD
1 - 1
LAC
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAV
3 - 2
STA
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LAC
3 - 2
BAV
60%
20%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAV
1 - 1
SIO
35%
24%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
YFJ
0 - 2
BAV
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BAV
0 - 0
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |