Okinawa SV vs Sony Sendai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+128%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
11º
11º
12
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
15 | 61 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 56 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 51 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 48 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 48 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 47 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 41 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 38 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 27 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 24 |
16º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Okinawa SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
OSV
3 - 1
SUN
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
OSV
1 - 3
TCF
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
YOK
1 - 1
OSV
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OSV
2 - 1
REA
28%
28%
44%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VEK
3 - 3
OSV
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sony Sendai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SON
1 - 1
URA
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CRS
1 - 2
SON
28%
24%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SON
0 - 2
KUS
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HON
0 - 0
SON
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SON
3 - 2
TIA
56%
22%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |