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J1 League. Matchday 14

Oita Trinita Sagan Tosu
43 ELO 41
-51% Tilt 19%
1855º General ELO ranking 1937º
21º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
21.9%
Oita Trinita
31.5%
Draw
46.6%
Sagan Tosu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
Oita Trinita
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.9%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.5%
46.6%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oita Trinita
-42%
+17%
Sagan Tosu

Basic stats

59
41
POS
12
11
SOT
7
6
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
11
10
FRK
43
41
ELO
0.7
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Oita Trinita
Their league position
Sagan Tosu
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
19º
18º
33
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kawasaki Frontale
45
82
73%
Yokohama F. Marinos
34
80
36%
Nagoya Grampus
34
59
8%
Sagan Tosu
33
62
8%
Avispa Fukuoka
29
56
7%
Vissel Kobe
28
62
7%
Urawa Reds
28
54
10º
7%
Kashima Antlers
24
61
6%
Cerezo Osaka
23
54
6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
10º
23
51
12º
6%
Consadole Sapporo
11º
22
61
5%
FC Tokyo
12º
22
53
11º
6%
Tokushima Vortis
13º
19
43
13º
7%
Shonan Bellmare
14º
17
40
14º
8%
Shimizu S-Pulse
15º
15
37
17º
8%
Kashiwa Reysol
16º
14
39
15º
8%
Gamba Osaka
17º
13
28
19º
8%
Vegalta Sendai
18º
13
37
16º
8%
Oita Trinita
19º
12
33
18º
9%
Yokohama
20º
7
26
20º
22%
Expected probabilities
Oita Trinita
Sagan Tosu
Champion
0% 7%
AFC Champions League
3% 18%
Mid-table
58% 68%
Relegation
39% 7%

ELO progression

Oita Trinita
OIT
Sagan Tosu
SAG
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
FC Tokyo
FCT
Vegalta Sendai
VEG
Kashima Antlers
KAA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oita Trinita
Oita Trinita
1%
X%
2%
ELO OIT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
2 - 0
Oita Trinita
OIT
41%
28%
31%
673 584 -89 -10
05 May. 2021
OIT
Oita Trinita
1 - 1
Tokushima Vortis
TOK
41%
28%
31%
673 786 -113 +1
02 May. 2021
OIT
Oita Trinita
1 - 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
47%
27%
26%
667 546 121 +5
28 Apr. 2021
VIS
Vissel Kobe
0 - 0
Oita Trinita
OIT
53%
25%
22%
666 832 166 +2
25 Apr. 2021
URA
Urawa Reds
3 - 2
Oita Trinita
OIT
52%
25%
22%
670 889 219 -5

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
44%
27%
29%
658 794 -136 0
05 May. 2021
CON
Consadole Sapporo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
51%
25%
23%
664 795 131 -5
01 May. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 0
Tokushima Vortis
TOK
44%
27%
29%
653 796 -143 +10
28 Apr. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 2
Kashima Antlers
KAA
36%
27%
37%
651 1116 -465 +2
24 Apr. 2021
FCT
FC Tokyo
1 - 2
Sagan Tosu
SAG
51%
25%
24%
643 875 232 +8