O'Connor Knights vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
72.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
OKF
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OKF
3 - 1
BEL
52%
21%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OKF
1 - 0
CAN
8%
13%
79%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OKF
1 - 4
GUN
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
OKF
68%
17%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
GUN
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
5 - 0
WWF
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OKF
1 - 0
CAN
8%
13%
79%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAN
10%
15%
74%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |