Nürnberg II vs Ingolstadt 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
MEM
1 - 1
NUR
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
NUR
3 - 1
ELT
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
MEM
3 - 3
NUR
22%
24%
53%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NUR
2 - 3
SVS
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ING
0 - 1
NUR
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ING
0 - 1
ROS
51%
23%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
ILL
2 - 2
ING
31%
26%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
ING
2 - 3
KSC
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
BAY
0 - 3
ING
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ING
0 - 1
NUR
36%
25%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |