Cosenza vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NUO
0 - 2
PIS
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
NUO
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NUO
0 - 2
USC
25%
29%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
ASS
4 - 1
NUO
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NUO
0 - 1
SPA
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
TER
2 - 4
ASC
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 4
USC
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CTT
2 - 0
ASC
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 0
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
REG
1 - 2
ASC
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |