Numancia vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
NUM
0 - 2
MLL
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
RMA
1 - 0
NUM
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
NUM
1 - 1
FCB
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
DEP
4 - 1
NUM
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
NUM
1 - 0
RAC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
RSO
3 - 0
OVI
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
MLL
1 - 1
RSO
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
RSO
1 - 1
ALA
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
RMA
4 - 0
RSO
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
RSO
2 - 0
RAY
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |