Numancia vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ELC
1 - 2
NUM
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
NUM
1 - 0
PON
69%
21%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 1
NUM
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VAD
2 - 0
NUM
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
NUM
1 - 0
XER
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 3
ALB
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
ALA
0 - 1
MAL
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 0
HER
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 0
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
ZAR
0 - 1
MAL
72%
17%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |