Numancia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
25.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1998 |
BAR
0 - 2
NUM
34%
28%
39%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
OSA
0 - 1
NUM
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
NUM
2 - 1
CDB
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
NUM
1 - 1
CUL
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
LEG
0 - 5
NUM
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
HER
0 - 3
LLE
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
LOG
2 - 1
HER
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
HER
1 - 1
ELC
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
HER
1 - 1
RAY
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
ELC
1 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |