Numancia vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
NUM
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALC
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VAD
2 - 2
NUM
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NUM
2 - 0
MLL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ELC
0 - 0
NUM
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 2
CCF
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ATH
4 - 2
PON
25%
29%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATH
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ATH
0 - 1
VAD
18%
27%
55%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MLL
2 - 3
ATH
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |