Novorizontino vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FER
4 - 0
NOV
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
NOV
33%
24%
44%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 6
NOV
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 2
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 3
MAT
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 4
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
AGU
40%
25%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 2
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |