Novese vs Cantù San Paolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 2
NAV
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
CHI
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 1
NOV
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
DER
3 - 2
NOV
50%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Cantù San Paolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 2
CAN
80%
14%
7%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 0
CAN
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 3
SAN
16%
23%
60%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LAV
5 - 0
CAN
75%
17%
8%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 1
SCH
12%
19%
70%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |