Novara vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
NOV
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 3
NOV
21%
25%
55%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 1
TRA
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
CRO
3 - 1
CAG
34%
28%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 2
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 0
TRA
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LAT
2 - 2
CRO
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |