Notts County vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 1
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1920 |
PNE
2 - 0
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 1
MID
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
MID
1 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
SUN
1 - 1
MID
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
MID
0 - 2
SUN
42%
23%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
MID
0 - 0
WBA
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |