Northampton vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
NOR
38%
25%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 2
OLD
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 0
NOR
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 0
PLY
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BCF
2 - 3
NOR
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SCU
0 - 1
LIN
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 4
LIN
21%
22%
57%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 1
BBU
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 1
SHW
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 3
NOR
24%
23%
53%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |