Noroeste vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
NOR
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 1
CAP
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
DES
0 - 1
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 0
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
COM
3 - 0
MAR
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 2
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
COM
3 - 0
LIN
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
CAP
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
DES
1 - 2
COM
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |