Noja vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
48.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
ELG
1 - 3
NOJ
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
NOJ
1 - 1
BEA
20%
28%
52%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
CLH
0 - 1
NOJ
67%
20%
12%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
NOJ
1 - 1
CLU
16%
28%
56%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
BIN
2 - 1
NOJ
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
AMU
1 - 1
BAR
36%
28%
36%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
VAL
0 - 1
AMU
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
AMU
1 - 0
OSA
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
GER
2 - 0
AMU
40%
29%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
AMU
2 - 1
LEM
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |