NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
8º
6º
49
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 2
NKV
32%
27%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
4 - 1
OSI
22%
24%
55%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PRB
1 - 4
NKV
7%
15%
78%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 1
NKV
75%
16%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 1
NKV
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 1
IST
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SLA
2 - 1
RIJ
20%
23%
57%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
RIJ
8%
14%
77%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RIJ
3 - 0
LOK
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 2
RIJ
33%
24%
42%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |