NK Polet vs Virovitica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
2.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
6º
2º
22
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 75.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Polet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
NKP
14%
18%
69%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NKK
2 - 0
NKP
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
3 - 0
POD
92%
6%
2%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NDD
1 - 1
NKP
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKS
0 - 2
NKP
9%
15%
77%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 0
POD
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NDD
2 - 1
VIR
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 0
NKS
38%
23%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RMS
4 - 0
VIR
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 0
VIR
61%
20%
18%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |