Ligue 2 . Jor. 1

Nîmes vs Caen analysis

Nîmes Caen
64 ELO 64
4.4% Tilt 7.8%
2576º General ELO ranking 1286º
55º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
43.5%
Nîmes
26.2%
Draw
30.3%
Caen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
Nîmes
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.3%
Win probability
Caen
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nîmes
-16%
-5%
Caen

Points and table prediction

Nîmes
Their league position
Caen
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
20º
19º
59
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Le Havre
75
75
100%
Metz
72
72
100%
Girondins Bordeaux
69
72
100%
Bastia
60
60
100%
Caen
59
59
100%
Saint-Étienne
53
56
100%
Guingamp
55
55
0%
Paris FC
55
55
0%
Sochaux
52
52
100%
Grenoble
10º
51
51
10º
100%
QRM
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Amiens SC
12º
47
47
12º
0%
Pau FC
13º
47
47
13º
0%
Stade Lavallois
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Valenciennes
15º
45
45
15º
0%
Annecy
16º
45
45
16º
11%
Rodez
17º
43
43
17º
89%
Dijon FCO
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Nîmes
19º
36
36
19º
100%
Niort
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nîmes
Caen
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Nîmes
Caen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nîmes
Nîmes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2022
NÎM
Nîmes
4 - 2
UNFP
UNF
89%
8%
3%
64 9 55 0
16 Jul. 2022
NÎM
Nîmes
0 - 1
Bastia
BAS
43%
24%
33%
64 66 2 0
09 Jul. 2022
ANN
Annecy
2 - 0
Nîmes
NÎM
43%
24%
34%
64 64 0 0
02 Jul. 2022
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 0
Nîmes
NÎM
74%
16%
11%
64 78 14 0
14 May. 2022
NÎM
Nîmes
0 - 2
Bastia
BAS
44%
26%
30%
65 65 0 -1

Matches

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2022
CAE
Caen
0 - 0
Versailles
VER
65%
21%
14%
64 54 10 0
20 Jul. 2022
CAE
Caen
1 - 2
Stade Rennais
REN
16%
23%
61%
64 85 21 0
16 Jul. 2022
CAE
Caen
0 - 2
Nantes
NAN
23%
25%
52%
64 79 15 0
12 Jul. 2022
CAE
Caen
3 - 0
Le Mans
LMU
55%
24%
21%
64 58 6 0
09 Jul. 2022
CAE
Caen
1 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
35%
28%
37%
64 71 7 0
X