Nîmes vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 0
NÎM
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
NÎM
3 - 0
SED
36%
28%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 2
NÎM
42%
29%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
NÎM
2 - 0
GUI
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 1
NÎM
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
ARL
0 - 0
DIJ
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
STL
0 - 1
ARL
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
ARL
1 - 0
BAS
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
IST
1 - 1
ARL
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
ARL
1 - 1
VAN
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |