Nice II vs Olympique Marseille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
13º
13º
31
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
94.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 1
NIC
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 2
LUC
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EUA
3 - 2
NIC
17%
19%
63%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 1
GAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NIC
29%
22%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAN
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RSV
2 - 1
MAR
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
2 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |