Combined Counties Football League Northern League One. Jor. 16

Newton Aycliffe vs Ashington AFC analysis

Newton Aycliffe Ashington AFC
29 ELO 28
1.3% Tilt -1.2%
7029º General ELO ranking 8058º
345º Country ELO ranking 421º
ELO win probability
56.1%
Newton Aycliffe
20%
Draw
23.9%
Ashington AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
Newton Aycliffe
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.9%
Win probability
Ashington AFC
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Newton Aycliffe
+27%
-31%
Ashington AFC

ELO progression

Newton Aycliffe
Ashington AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newton Aycliffe
Newton Aycliffe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2021
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
0 - 3
Sunderland RCA
SUN
70%
16%
14%
32 23 9 0
12 Oct. 2021
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
3 - 1
Thornaby
THO
64%
18%
18%
32 24 8 0
09 Oct. 2021
PEN
Penrith AFC
2 - 5
Newton Aycliffe
NEW
12%
17%
71%
31 15 16 +1
02 Oct. 2021
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
3 - 1
Redcar Athletic
RAF
83%
11%
6%
31 15 16 0
25 Sep. 2021
WES
West Auckland Town
1 - 2
Newton Aycliffe
NEW
64%
18%
18%
29 34 5 +2

Matches

Ashington AFC
Ashington AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2021
WES
West Auckland Town
5 - 0
Ashington AFC
ASH
64%
18%
18%
28 34 6 0
19 Oct. 2021
ASH
Ashington AFC
4 - 2
Sunderland RCA
SUN
57%
20%
23%
27 24 3 +1
16 Oct. 2021
ASH
Ashington AFC
4 - 0
Crook Town AFC
CRO
82%
12%
6%
27 14 13 0
09 Oct. 2021
SEA
Seaham Red Star
2 - 1
Ashington AFC
ASH
23%
20%
56%
28 20 8 -1
02 Oct. 2021
ASH
Ashington AFC
3 - 1
Newcastle Benfield
NEW
57%
20%
23%
27 24 3 +1
X