Newry City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 0
KNO
72%
17%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 1
TOB
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CLI
2 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
WAR
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
DOL
1 - 3
NEW
35%
24%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
INS
1 - 3
BAL
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DER
5 - 0
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
INS
0 - 3
CLI
12%
19%
69%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
13%
19%
69%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
INS
0 - 3
PSN
66%
18%
16%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |