Newport Pagnell Town FC vs Peterborough Northern Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.6%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport Pagnell Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 2
WEL
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BIG
0 - 2
NEW
6%
13%
81%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NOC
0 - 4
NEW
5%
11%
84%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
COV
1 - 2
NEW
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peterborough Northern Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
PNS
0 - 1
LER
6%
12%
82%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PNS
0 - 6
RUG
4%
9%
86%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
4 - 1
PNS
89%
8%
3%
|
6 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
BIG
1 - 2
PNS
52%
20%
29%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WEL
6 - 1
PNS
92%
6%
2%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |